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ACGL (ACGL) — Downtrend in force
ACGL (ACGL) is trading at $98.77, +0.29 (+0.29%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -0.1% move. Price is -7.2% from its 6-month high and +12.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~24%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 3 bullish, 4 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
ACGL (ACGL) is trading at $98.77. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -0.1% move.
Price is -7.2% from the 6-month high and +12.7% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~24%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($100.31, -1.5%) and above the 50-day SMA ($97.86).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $98.77, upper $105.27, middle $100.46, lower $95.64. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 9.6% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 34.2. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.28, signal $0.27, histogram -0.550.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.25) over the recent 17 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($98.77) is +3.0% above the anchored VWAP ($95.93). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $98.77. Resistance above: $99.08, $100.20, $102.06. Support below: $97.92, $96.95, $95.64.
Watch $99.08 as the first upside level to clear, and $97.92 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$99.08
Resistance
$100.20
Resistance
$102.06
Support
$97.92
Support
$96.95
Support
$95.64
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-0.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($97.86).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 34 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.550) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.32).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($95.93).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:28.715188093Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.