Adobe Inc. (ADBE) — Downtrend in force
Adobe Inc. (ADBE) is trading at $237.69, +2.22 (+-1.49%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -2.7% move. Price is -18.8% from its 6-month high and +22.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~42%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 6 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
Adobe Inc. (ADBE) is trading at $237.69. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -2.7% move.
Price is -18.8% from the 6-month high and +22.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~42%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($242.23, -1.9%) and below the 50-day SMA ($258.74).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $237.69, upper $264.01, middle $245.61, lower $227.21. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 15.0% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 33.3. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-6.89, signal $-6.22, histogram -0.679.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.99) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($237.69) is -0.7% below the anchored VWAP ($239.42). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $237.69. Resistance above: $248.30, $254.67, $261.65. Support below: $227.21, $224.67.
Watch $248.30 as the first upside level to clear, and $227.21 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$248.30
Resistance
$254.67
Resistance
$261.65
Support
$227.21
Support
$224.67
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-2.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($258.74).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 33 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.679) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.28).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($239.42).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:16:54.154414848Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.