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ADM (ADM) — Downtrend in force
ADM (ADM) is trading at $80.45, -0.67 (1.17%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +9.6% move. Price is -8.7% from its 6-month high and +20.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
ADM (ADM) is trading at $80.45. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +9.6% move.
Price is -8.7% from the 6-month high and +20.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($82.36, -2.3%) and below the 50-day SMA ($81.77).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $80.45, upper $89.08, middle $83.32, lower $77.57. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 13.8% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 29.4. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.80, signal $-0.26, histogram -0.541.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.87) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($80.45) is +1.4% above the anchored VWAP ($79.32). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $80.45. Resistance above: $83.84, $85.05, $86.11. Support below: $78.97, $77.57, $75.86.
Watch $83.84 as the first upside level to clear, and $78.97 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$83.84
Resistance
$85.05
Resistance
$86.11
Support
$78.97
Support
$77.57
Support
$75.86
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+9.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($81.77).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 29 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.541) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.25).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($79.32).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:01:54.219782290Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.