ADP (ADP) — Downtrend in force
ADP (ADP) is trading at $257.68, -5.99 (-2.38%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +26.1% move. Price is -10.4% from its 6-month high and +36.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
ADP (ADP) is trading at $257.68. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +26.1% move.
Price is -10.4% from the 6-month high and +36.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($265.61, -3.0%) and below the 50-day SMA ($271.50).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $257.68, upper $277.77, middle $266.48, lower $255.19. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 8.5% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 23.2. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-3.59, signal $-2.25, histogram -1.339.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.72). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($257.68) is +8.6% above the anchored VWAP ($237.33). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $257.68. Resistance above: $262.21, $266.46, $269.94. Support below: $255.19.
Watch $262.21 as the first upside level to clear, and $255.19 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$262.21
Resistance
$266.46
Resistance
$269.94
Support
$255.19
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+26.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($271.50).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 23 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.339) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.11).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.72) — distribution.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($237.33).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:01:54.368910963Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.