AEP (AEP) — Downtrend in force
AEP (AEP) is trading at $119.57, +1.22 (+-15.0%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -9.7% move. Price is -13.8% from its 6-month high and +1.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~11%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
AEP (AEP) is trading at $119.57. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -9.7% move.
Price is -13.8% from the 6-month high and +1.7% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~11%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($119.50) and below the 50-day SMA ($123.53).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $119.57, upper $124.90, middle $120.58, lower $116.27. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 7.2% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 46.8. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.41, signal $-1.61, histogram +0.193.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.05) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($119.57) is -7.2% below the anchored VWAP ($128.81). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $119.57. Resistance above: $122.28, $124.09, $126.34. Support below: $116.27.
Watch $122.28 as the first upside level to clear, and $116.27 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$122.28
Resistance
$124.09
Resistance
$126.34
Support
$116.27
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-9.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($123.53).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 47 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.193) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.38).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($128.81).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:16:55.197395484Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.