AEP (AEP) — Downtrend in force
AEP (AEP) is trading at $125.86, +0.13 (+0.1%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -3.4% move. Price is -9.2% from its 6-month high and +2.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~18%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 8 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
AEP (AEP) is trading at $125.86. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -3.4% move.
Price is -9.2% from the 6-month high and +2.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~18%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($127.21, -1.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($131.12).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $125.86, upper $136.14, middle $128.66, lower $121.18. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 11.6% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 30.8. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.20, signal $-1.88, histogram -0.321.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.75). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($125.86) is -4.0% below the anchored VWAP ($131.14). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $125.86. Resistance above: $128.89, $131.18, $135.55. Support below: $121.18.
Watch $128.89 as the first upside level to clear, and $121.18 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$128.89
Resistance
$131.18
Resistance
$135.55
Support
$121.18
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-3.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($131.12).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 31 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.321) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.31).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.75) — distribution.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($131.14).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:29.823228796Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.