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AIZ (AIZ) — Downtrend in force
AIZ (AIZ) is trading at $267.32, +2.32 (+40.6%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +22.6% move. Price is -11.4% from its 6-month high and +22.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~16%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
AIZ (AIZ) is trading at $267.32. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +22.6% move.
Price is -11.4% from the 6-month high and +22.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~16%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($271.30, -1.5%) and below the 50-day SMA ($280.06).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $267.32, upper $291.05, middle $273.89, lower $256.72. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 12.5% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 26.3. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.60, signal $-3.91, histogram -0.688.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.79) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($267.32) is +2.0% above the anchored VWAP ($262.08). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $267.32. Resistance above: $282.20, $287.44, $290.50. Support below: $260.64, $256.72.
Watch $282.20 as the first upside level to clear, and $260.64 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$282.20
Resistance
$287.44
Resistance
$290.50
Support
$260.64
Support
$256.72
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+22.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($280.06).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 26 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.688) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.31).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($262.08).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:16:55.759852778Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.