ALNY (ALNY) — Downtrend in force
ALNY (ALNY) is trading at $219.72, -36.24 (-4.96%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -33.5% move. Price is -35.3% from its 6-month high and +6.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~47%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 7 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
ALNY (ALNY) is trading at $219.72. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -33.5% move.
Price is -35.3% from the 6-month high and +6.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~47%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($242.50, -9.4%) and below the 50-day SMA ($240.45).
Bollinger Bands Breakdown pressure — closing below the lower band
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $219.72, upper $266.99, middle $245.09, lower $223.19. Price is breakdown pressure — closing below the lower band.
Bandwidth is 17.9% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 31.9. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.06, signal $-0.78, histogram -3.279.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.82) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($219.72) is -18.0% below the anchored VWAP ($267.83). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 0 support levels
Current price $219.72. Resistance above: $237.91, $242.24, $251.81. Support below: none nearby.
Resistance
$237.91
Resistance
$242.24
Resistance
$251.81
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-33.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($240.45).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 32 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-3.279) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B -0.08).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($267.83).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:18:01.163365039Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.