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ALNY (ALNY) — Downtrend in force
ALNY (ALNY) is trading at $227.94, +8.74 (+3.99%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -31.5% move. Price is -32.8% from its 6-month high and +10.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~108%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 6 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
ALNY (ALNY) is trading at $227.94. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -31.5% move.
Price is -32.8% from the 6-month high and +10.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~108%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($232.33, -1.9%) and below the 50-day SMA ($273.16).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $227.94, upper $298.98, middle $241.83, lower $184.68. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 47.3% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 35.9. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-16.57, signal $-17.18, histogram +0.619.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.68). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($227.94) is -20.8% below the anchored VWAP ($287.77). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $227.94. Resistance above: $234.00, $269.22, $290.60. Support below: $221.50, $210.49, $197.81.
Watch $234.00 as the first upside level to clear, and $221.50 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$234.00
Resistance
$269.22
Resistance
$290.60
Support
$221.50
Support
$210.49
Support
$197.81
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-31.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($273.16).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 36 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.619) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.38).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.68) — distribution.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($287.77).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:31.720458805Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.