AMAT (AMAT) — Range-bound
AMAT (AMAT) is trading at $506.04, -33.1 (-6.14%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a +40.9% move. Price is -30.0% from its 6-month high and +56.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~79%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 4 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
AMAT (AMAT) is trading at $506.04. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +40.9% move.
Price is -30.0% from the 6-month high and +56.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~79%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($516.09, -1.9%) and below the 50-day SMA ($558.86).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $506.04, upper $582.28, middle $524.23, lower $466.18. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 22.1% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 46.9. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-7.60, signal $-9.00, histogram +1.402.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.90) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($506.04) is +5.4% above the anchored VWAP ($479.95). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $506.04. Resistance above: $539.50, $551.18, $558.28. Support below: $466.18, $436.33.
Watch $539.50 as the first upside level to clear, and $466.18 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$539.50
Resistance
$551.18
Resistance
$558.28
Support
$466.18
Support
$436.33
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($558.86).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 47 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.402) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.34).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($479.95).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:31.217281112Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.