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Amgen Inc. (AMGN) — Uptrend in force
Amgen Inc. (AMGN) is trading at $403.04, -11.57 (-1.04%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is up with a +17.6% move. Price is -9.2% from its 6-month high and +24.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~40%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
Amgen Inc. (AMGN) is trading at $403.04. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **up** with a +17.6% move.
Price is -9.2% from the 6-month high and +24.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~40%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($401.61) and below the 50-day SMA ($410.02).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $403.04, upper $428.44, middle $397.50, lower $366.55. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 15.6% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 61.9. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.51, signal $-0.40, histogram +0.913.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.24) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($403.04) is +8.6% above the anchored VWAP ($371.27). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $403.04. Resistance above: $409.99, $415.76, $426.59. Support below: $397.50, $374.46, $366.55.
Watch $409.99 as the first upside level to clear, and $397.50 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$409.99
Resistance
$415.76
Resistance
$426.59
Support
$397.50
Support
$374.46
Support
$366.55
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+17.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($410.02).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 62 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.913) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.59).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($371.27).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:01:49.397933783Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.