APH (APH) — Uptrend in force
APH (APH) is trading at $86.96, +2.87 (+1.51%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is up with a +37.5% move. Price is -1.4% from its 6-month high and +45.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~34%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 2 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
APH (APH) is trading at $86.96. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **up** with a +37.5% move.
Price is -1.4% from the 6-month high and +45.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~34%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($82.44, +5.5%) and above the 50-day SMA ($81.36).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $86.96, upper $88.14, middle $82.12, lower $76.10. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 14.7% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Extreme overbought
RSI(14) is 85.4. Mean-reversion risk is elevated; momentum often stalls here.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $1.54, signal $0.91, histogram +0.636.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.88) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($86.96) is +15.1% above the anchored VWAP ($75.56). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $86.96. Resistance above: $88.14. Support below: $84.09, $83.22, $81.85.
Watch $88.14 as the first upside level to clear, and $84.09 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$88.14
Support
$84.09
Support
$83.22
Support
$81.85
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+37.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($81.36).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 85 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.636) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.90).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($75.56).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:01:57.678078187Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.