AVB (AVB) — Downtrend in force
AVB (AVB) is trading at $183.56, -3.99 (-2.13%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +3.3% move. Price is -6.1% from its 6-month high and +14.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
AVB (AVB) is trading at $183.56. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +3.3% move.
Price is -6.1% from the 6-month high and +14.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($186.56, -1.6%) and below the 50-day SMA ($188.03).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $183.56, upper $194.40, middle $187.58, lower $180.76. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 7.3% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 43.0. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.69, signal $-0.90, histogram -0.795.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.96) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($183.56) is +1.7% above the anchored VWAP ($180.47). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $183.56. Resistance above: $187.24, $190.30, $192.85. Support below: $179.46.
Watch $187.24 as the first upside level to clear, and $179.46 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$187.24
Resistance
$190.30
Resistance
$192.85
Support
$179.46
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+3.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($188.03).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 43 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.795) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.21).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($180.47).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:33.470585937Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.