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CASY (CASY) — Downtrend in force
CASY (CASY) is trading at $851.23, +17.28 (+2.07%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +28.7% move. Price is -7.1% from its 6-month high and +29.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 4 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CASY (CASY) is trading at $851.23. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +28.7% move.
Price is -7.1% from the 6-month high and +29.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($851.64) and above the 50-day SMA ($835.34).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $851.23, upper $879.42, middle $854.65, lower $829.87. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 5.8% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 49.9. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $2.75, signal $5.01, histogram -2.254.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.99) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($851.23) is +9.6% above the anchored VWAP ($776.56). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $851.23. Resistance above: $859.98, $869.97, $879.42. Support below: $840.00, $829.87, $805.63.
Watch $859.98 as the first upside level to clear, and $840.00 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$859.98
Resistance
$869.97
Resistance
$879.42
Support
$840.00
Support
$829.87
Support
$805.63
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+28.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($835.34).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 50 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-2.254) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.43).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($776.56).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:37.556631039Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.