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CASY (CASY) — Downtrend in force
CASY (CASY) is trading at $617.76, +19.3 (+-28.1%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -17.4% move. Price is -32.6% from its 6-month high and +5.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~55%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 3 bullish, 3 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CASY (CASY) is trading at $617.76. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -17.4% move.
Price is -32.6% from the 6-month high and +5.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~55%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($601.03, +2.8%) and below the 50-day SMA ($740.60).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $617.76, upper $673.96, middle $612.14, lower $550.31. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 20.2% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 68.0. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-36.17, signal $-46.10, histogram +9.931.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.24) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($617.76) is -19.0% below the anchored VWAP ($762.52). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $617.76. Resistance above: $673.96, $762.96, $778.59. Support below: $612.14, $595.02, $586.25.
Watch $673.96 as the first upside level to clear, and $612.14 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$673.96
Resistance
$762.96
Resistance
$778.59
Support
$612.14
Support
$595.02
Support
$586.25
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-17.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($740.60).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 68 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+9.931) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.55).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($762.52).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:05.192175329Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.