Caterpillar Inc.

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) — Downtrend in force

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) is trading at $858.04, +15.85 (+1.88%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +12.2% move. Price is -19.4% from its 6-month high and +28.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~39%.

Trend Downtrend in force

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) is trading at $858.04. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +12.2% move.

Price is -19.4% from the 6-month high and +28.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~39%.

Price is above the 15-day MA ($843.12, +1.8%) and below the 50-day SMA ($912.56).

Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound

Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $858.04, upper $911.29, middle $853.68, lower $796.07. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.

Bandwidth is 13.5% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.

RSI (14) Below 50

RSI(14) is 49.5. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.

Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.

MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal

MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-16.57, signal $-20.94, histogram +4.373.

The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.

Volume Analysis Balanced volume

Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.87) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.

Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.

Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing

The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.

A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.

Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit

Price ($858.04) is +0.6% above the anchored VWAP ($853.06). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.

Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.

Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels

Current price $858.04. Resistance above: $871.20, $893.19, $909.60. Support below: $853.68, $835.86, $796.07.

Watch $871.20 as the first upside level to clear, and $853.68 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.

Signal breakdown

• Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+12.2% over the period).
• Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($912.56).
• RSI (14) Bearish RSI 50 — below 50, momentum fading.
• MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+4.373) — fast line above signal.
• Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.54).
• Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
• A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
• AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($853.06).

Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:24.376356010Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.