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Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) — Uptrend in force
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) is trading at $845.42, +23.84 (+2.31%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is up with a +17.2% move. Price is -20.6% from its 6-month high and +17.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~25%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 2 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) is trading at $845.42. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **up** with a +17.2% move.
Price is -20.6% from the 6-month high and +17.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~25%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($814.12, +3.8%) and above the 50-day SMA ($822.58).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $845.42, upper $846.73, middle $812.87, lower $779.01. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 8.3% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 73.9. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $3.05, signal $-2.99, histogram +6.041.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.15) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($845.42) is -3.6% below the anchored VWAP ($877.16). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $845.42. Resistance above: $846.73, $864.11, $887.91. Support below: $812.26, $802.44, $794.20.
Watch $846.73 as the first upside level to clear, and $812.26 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$846.73
Resistance
$864.11
Resistance
$887.91
Support
$812.26
Support
$802.44
Support
$794.20
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+17.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($822.58).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 74 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+6.041) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.98).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($877.16).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:16:50.032509906Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.