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CBOE (CBOE) — Downtrend in force
CBOE (CBOE) is trading at $271.26, +13.23 (+-2.14%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -8.4% move. Price is -26.0% from its 6-month high and +17.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~36%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 3 bullish, 5 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CBOE (CBOE) is trading at $271.26. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -8.4% move.
Price is -26.0% from the 6-month high and +17.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~36%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($268.21, +1.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($287.42).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $271.26, upper $293.49, middle $273.07, lower $252.64. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 15.0% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 52.0. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-5.55, signal $-6.47, histogram +0.925.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Accumulation — buyers in control
Over the recent 19 sessions, average up-day volume is 1.32× down-day volume. Price rises on heavier volume than it falls on — a sign buyers are more committed than sellers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($271.26) is -6.2% below the anchored VWAP ($289.19). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $271.26. Resistance above: $275.76, $283.54, $293.49. Support below: $268.65, $264.73, $252.64.
Watch $275.76 as the first upside level to clear, and $268.65 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$275.76
Resistance
$283.54
Resistance
$293.49
Support
$268.65
Support
$264.73
Support
$252.64
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-8.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($287.42).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 52 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.925) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.46).
- Volume profile Bullish Up-day volume 1.32× down-day volume — accumulation.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($289.19).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:05.491065269Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.