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CF (CF) — Downtrend in force
CF (CF) is trading at $115.01, +0.34 (+41.0%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -12.2% move. Price is -17.4% from its 6-month high and +12.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CF (CF) is trading at $115.01. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -12.2% move.
Price is -17.4% from the 6-month high and +12.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($121.18, -5.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($124.22).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $115.01, upper $141.66, middle $124.47, lower $107.29. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 27.6% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Oversold
RSI(14) is 13.2. A bounce is common from these levels but not guaranteed.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-3.61, signal $-2.21, histogram -1.400.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.91) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($115.01) is -4.3% below the anchored VWAP ($120.13). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $115.01. Resistance above: $115.76, $117.73, $119.11. Support below: $113.81, $111.83, $107.29.
Watch $115.76 as the first upside level to clear, and $113.81 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$115.76
Resistance
$117.73
Resistance
$119.11
Support
$113.81
Support
$111.83
Support
$107.29
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-12.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($124.22).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 13 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.400) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.22).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($120.13).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:02:03.399046034Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.