CF (CF) — Downtrend in force
CF (CF) is trading at $118.64, +4.29 (+3.75%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +26.5% move. Price is -13.8% from its 6-month high and +26.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~41%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 3 bullish, 4 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CF (CF) is trading at $118.64. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +26.5% move.
Price is -13.8% from the 6-month high and +26.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~41%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($120.01, -1.1%) and above the 50-day SMA ($114.96).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $118.64, upper $129.21, middle $121.29, lower $113.38. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 13.1% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 48.2. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.23, signal $0.93, histogram -0.701.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.06) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($118.64) is +0.2% above the anchored VWAP ($118.46). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $118.64. Resistance above: $119.72, $121.60, $127.83. Support below: $117.27, $113.32, $109.43.
Watch $119.72 as the first upside level to clear, and $117.27 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$119.72
Resistance
$121.60
Resistance
$127.83
Support
$117.27
Support
$113.32
Support
$109.43
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+26.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($114.96).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 48 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.701) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.33).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($118.46).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:38.571800813Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.