CINF (CINF) — Downtrend in force
CINF (CINF) is trading at $161.95, -0.59 (-12.3%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +1.2% move. Price is -15.7% from its 6-month high and +3.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~15%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 7 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CINF (CINF) is trading at $161.95. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +1.2% move.
Price is -15.7% from the 6-month high and +3.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~15%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($164.66, -1.6%) and below the 50-day SMA ($170.83).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $161.95, upper $174.14, middle $165.98, lower $157.83. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 9.8% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 23.5. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.90, signal $-2.63, histogram -0.265.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.64). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($161.95) is -5.1% below the anchored VWAP ($170.70). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $161.95. Resistance above: $169.05, $171.61, $173.76. Support below: $157.83.
Watch $169.05 as the first upside level to clear, and $157.83 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$169.05
Resistance
$171.61
Resistance
$173.76
Support
$157.83
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+1.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($170.83).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 23 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.265) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.25).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.64) — distribution.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($170.70).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:07.601058267Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.