CME (CME) — Uptrend in force
CME (CME) is trading at $270.20, +6.53 (+2.48%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a -10.9% move. Price is -17.2% from its 6-month high and +23.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~24%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 2 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
CME (CME) is trading at $270.20. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a -10.9% move.
Price is -17.2% from the 6-month high and +23.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~24%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($263.99, +2.4%) and above the 50-day SMA ($250.81).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $270.20, upper $276.44, middle $260.06, lower $243.68. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 12.6% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 70.3. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $4.51, signal $4.05, histogram +0.456.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.13) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($270.20) is -1.1% below the anchored VWAP ($273.17). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $270.20. Resistance above: $276.44. Support below: $262.73, $260.06, $256.83.
Watch $276.44 as the first upside level to clear, and $262.73 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$276.44
Support
$262.73
Support
$260.06
Support
$256.83
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-10.9% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($250.81).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 70 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.456) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.81).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($273.17).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:40.093722372Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.