CME (CME) — Downtrend in force
CME (CME) is trading at $263.14, -1.34 (-73.9%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -14.7% move. Price is -15.3% from its 6-month high and +20.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 6 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CME (CME) is trading at $263.14. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -14.7% move.
Price is -15.3% from the 6-month high and +20.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($268.10, -1.8%) and below the 50-day SMA ($270.67).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $263.14, upper $281.71, middle $270.22, lower $258.74. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 8.5% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 33.2. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.62, signal $-1.33, histogram -1.290.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.17) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($263.14) is -0.8% below the anchored VWAP ($265.17). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $263.14. Resistance above: $264.88, $267.82, $273.23. Support below: $262.20, $256.83.
Watch $264.88 as the first upside level to clear, and $262.20 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$264.88
Resistance
$267.82
Resistance
$273.23
Support
$262.20
Support
$256.83
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-14.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($270.67).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 33 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.290) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.19).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($265.17).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:08.270163456Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.