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CMI (CMI) — Downtrend in force
CMI (CMI) is trading at $632.60, -11.66 (-1.81%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +6.2% move. Price is -13.1% from its 6-month high and +23.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~32%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 3 bullish, 5 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CMI (CMI) is trading at $632.60. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +6.2% move.
Price is -13.1% from the 6-month high and +23.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~32%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($637.98) and below the 50-day SMA ($664.63).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $632.60, upper $671.50, middle $643.00, lower $614.50. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 8.9% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 41.2. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-8.46, signal $-8.56, histogram +0.092.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Accumulation — buyers in control
Over the recent 19 sessions, average up-day volume is 1.42× down-day volume. Price rises on heavier volume than it falls on — a sign buyers are more committed than sellers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($632.60) is -0.6% below the anchored VWAP ($636.55). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $632.60. Resistance above: $635.01, $654.99, $666.97. Support below: $622.35, $614.50, $597.35.
Watch $635.01 as the first upside level to clear, and $622.35 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$635.01
Resistance
$654.99
Resistance
$666.97
Support
$622.35
Support
$614.50
Support
$597.35
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+6.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($664.63).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 41 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.092) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.32).
- Volume profile Bullish Up-day volume 1.42× down-day volume — accumulation.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($636.55).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:40.351604085Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.