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CMI (CMI) — Downtrend in force
CMI (CMI) is trading at $528.32, +3.26 (+2.19%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -4.3% move. Price is -27.4% from its 6-month high and +2.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CMI (CMI) is trading at $528.32. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -4.3% move.
Price is -27.4% from the 6-month high and +2.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($525.52) and below the 50-day SMA ($578.01).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $528.32, upper $559.18, middle $532.35, lower $505.52. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 10.1% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 46.9. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-15.68, signal $-18.78, histogram +3.104.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.23) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($528.32) is -15.9% below the anchored VWAP ($628.38). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $528.32. Resistance above: $529.47, $542.99, $553.85. Support below: $527.27, $520.00, $514.37.
Watch $529.47 as the first upside level to clear, and $527.27 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$529.47
Resistance
$542.99
Resistance
$553.85
Support
$527.27
Support
$520.00
Support
$514.37
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-4.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($578.01).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 47 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+3.104) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.42).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($628.38).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:08.524010227Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.