COF (COF) — Uptrend in force
COF (COF) is trading at $227.06, +9.3 (+4.27%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +9.8% move. Price is +0.0% from its 6-month high and +28.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~31%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
COF (COF) is trading at $227.06. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +9.8% move.
Price is 0.0% from the 6-month high and +28.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~31%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($217.18, +4.5%) and above the 50-day SMA ($204.11).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $227.06, upper $229.78, middle $213.75, lower $197.71. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 15.0% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 77.9. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $5.81, signal $5.05, histogram +0.761.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.90) over the recent 18 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($227.06) is +16.8% above the anchored VWAP ($194.48). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $227.06. Resistance above: $229.78. Support below: $219.32, $216.45, $213.75.
Watch $229.78 as the first upside level to clear, and $219.32 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$229.78
Support
$219.32
Support
$216.45
Support
$213.75
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+9.8% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($204.11).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 78 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.761) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.92).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($194.48).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:41.007636673Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.