COF (COF) — Downtrend in force
COF (COF) is trading at $194.72, -5.48 (12.3%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +5.7% move. Price is -14.3% from its 6-month high and +9.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
COF (COF) is trading at $194.72. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +5.7% move.
Price is -14.3% from the 6-month high and +9.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($198.85, -2.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($210.93).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $194.72, upper $213.41, middle $201.49, lower $189.57. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 11.8% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 30.6. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.88, signal $-4.38, histogram -0.501.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Accumulation — buyers in control
Over the recent 19 sessions, average up-day volume is 1.42× down-day volume. Price rises on heavier volume than it falls on — a sign buyers are more committed than sellers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($194.72) is -2.3% below the anchored VWAP ($199.35). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $194.72. Resistance above: $194.78, $196.99, $201.69. Support below: $193.71, $189.57.
Watch $194.78 as the first upside level to clear, and $193.71 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$194.78
Resistance
$196.99
Resistance
$201.69
Support
$193.71
Support
$189.57
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+5.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($210.93).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 31 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.501) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.22).
- Volume profile Bullish Up-day volume 1.42× down-day volume — accumulation.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($199.35).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:09.223345095Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.