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COP (COP) — Downtrend in force
COP (COP) is trading at $126.75, -0.55 (-24.4%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -3.7% move. Price is -10.2% from its 6-month high and +22.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~29%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
COP (COP) is trading at $126.75. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -3.7% move.
Price is -10.2% from the 6-month high and +22.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~29%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($128.90, -1.7%) and below the 50-day SMA ($128.13).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $126.75, upper $140.59, middle $130.81, lower $121.02. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 15.0% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 27.0. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.09, signal $-0.29, histogram -0.799.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.84) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($126.75) is +4.9% above the anchored VWAP ($120.80). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $126.75. Resistance above: $127.26, $130.20, $135.42. Support below: $123.46, $121.02.
Watch $127.26 as the first upside level to clear, and $123.46 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$127.26
Resistance
$130.20
Resistance
$135.42
Support
$123.46
Support
$121.02
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-3.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($128.13).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 27 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.799) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.29).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($120.80).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:09.806887179Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.