Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST) — Range-bound
Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST) is trading at $961.70, +13.88 (+1.46%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a -5.0% move. Price is -12.1% from its 6-month high and +5.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 1 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST) is trading at $961.70. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a -5.0% move.
Price is -12.1% from the 6-month high and +5.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($953.96) and above the 50-day SMA ($950.59).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $961.70, upper $973.28, middle $948.14, lower $923.00. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 5.3% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 57.0. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $1.96, signal $0.01, histogram +1.944.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.88) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($961.70) is -1.8% below the anchored VWAP ($979.16). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $961.70. Resistance above: $964.33, $987.55. Support below: $948.00, $933.76, $916.76.
Watch $964.33 as the first upside level to clear, and $948.00 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$964.33
Resistance
$987.55
Support
$948.00
Support
$933.76
Support
$916.76
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($950.59).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 57 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.944) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.77).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($979.16).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:41.872324219Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.