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CPAY (CPAY) — Downtrend in force
CPAY (CPAY) is trading at $394.60, -3.51 (1.25%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +32.3% move. Price is -7.2% from its 6-month high and +33.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~17%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CPAY (CPAY) is trading at $394.60. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +32.3% move.
Price is -7.2% from the 6-month high and +33.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~17%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($396.82) and below the 50-day SMA ($402.17).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $394.60, upper $413.27, middle $399.73, lower $386.19. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 6.8% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 38.0. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.79, signal $-1.63, histogram -1.163.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.96) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($394.60) is +9.3% above the anchored VWAP ($360.96). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $394.60. Resistance above: $398.49, $408.26, $413.27. Support below: $386.19.
Watch $398.49 as the first upside level to clear, and $386.19 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$398.49
Resistance
$408.26
Resistance
$413.27
Support
$386.19
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+32.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($402.17).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 38 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.163) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.31).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($360.96).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:10.183839290Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.