Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) — Uptrend in force
Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) is trading at $111.58, -9.85 (-8.11%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +45.2% move. Price is -14.2% from its 6-month high and +46.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~42%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 4 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) is trading at $111.58. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +45.2% move.
Price is -14.2% from the 6-month high and +46.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~42%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($117.70, -5.2%) and below the 50-day SMA ($117.42).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $111.58, upper $124.81, middle $116.38, lower $107.94. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 14.5% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 40.8. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.63, signal $0.98, histogram -0.349.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.02) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($111.58) is +9.1% above the anchored VWAP ($102.27). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $111.58. Resistance above: $113.18, $114.33, $117.18. Support below: $111.33, $107.53.
Watch $113.18 as the first upside level to clear, and $111.33 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$113.18
Resistance
$114.33
Resistance
$117.18
Support
$111.33
Support
$107.53
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+45.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($117.42).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 41 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.349) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.22).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($102.27).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:24.671810675Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.