CTAS (CTAS) — Downtrend in force
CTAS (CTAS) is trading at $193.02, -6.89 (-1.32%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +12.4% move. Price is -10.9% from its 6-month high and +18.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~19%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 5 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CTAS (CTAS) is trading at $193.02. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +12.4% move.
Price is -10.9% from the 6-month high and +18.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~19%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($196.95, -2.0%) and below the 50-day SMA ($201.43).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $193.02, upper $203.18, middle $197.78, lower $192.38. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 5.5% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 38.3. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.56, signal $-1.04, histogram -0.524.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.94) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($193.02) is +3.4% above the anchored VWAP ($186.68). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $193.02. Resistance above: $196.62, $199.87, $203.18. Support below: $191.09.
Watch $196.62 as the first upside level to clear, and $191.09 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$196.62
Resistance
$199.87
Resistance
$203.18
Support
$191.09
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+12.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($201.43).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 38 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.524) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.06).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($186.68).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:11.900452439Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.