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CTVA (CTVA) — Downtrend in force
CTVA (CTVA) is trading at $11.92, -66.6 (-5.17%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -85.8% move. Price is -86.8% from its 6-month high and +0.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~536%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 7 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CTVA (CTVA) is trading at $11.92. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -85.8% move.
Price is -86.8% from the 6-month high and 0.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~536%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($66.26, -82.0%) and below the 50-day SMA ($77.31).
Bollinger Bands Breakdown pressure — closing below the lower band
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $11.92, upper $120.27, middle $70.78, lower $21.28. Price is breakdown pressure — closing below the lower band.
Bandwidth is 139.9% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Oversold
RSI(14) is 1.9. A bounce is common from these levels but not guaranteed.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-13.77, signal $-5.67, histogram -8.097.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.31). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($11.92) is -79.9% below the anchored VWAP ($59.24). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $11.92. Resistance above: $75.99, $80.97, $82.26. Support below: $11.84.
Watch $75.99 as the first upside level to clear, and $11.84 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$75.99
Resistance
$80.97
Resistance
$82.26
Support
$11.84
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-85.8% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($77.31).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 2 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-8.097) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B -0.09).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.31) — distribution.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($59.24).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:12.125378091Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.