CTVA

CTVA (CTVA) — Downtrend in force

CTVA (CTVA) is trading at $76.96, +0.13 (+0.17%) on the session. Over the last 124 sessions the trend is down with a +1.9% move. Price is -15.0% from its 6-month high and +3.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~45%.

Trend Downtrend in force

CTVA (CTVA) is trading at $76.96. Over the last 124 sessions the trend is **down** with a +1.9% move.

Price is -15.0% from the 6-month high and +3.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~45%.

Price is below the 15-day MA ($81.05, -5.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($81.62).

Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound

Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $76.96, upper $94.31, middle $82.71, lower $71.11. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.

Bandwidth is 28.1% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.

RSI (14) Weakening

RSI(14) is 27.9. Nearing the 30 oversold line.

Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.

MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing

MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.23, signal $-1.24, histogram -0.991.

The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.

Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control

Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.69). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.

Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.

Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing

The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.

A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.

Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater

Price ($76.96) is -4.4% below the anchored VWAP ($80.51). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.

Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.

Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels

Current price $76.96. Resistance above: $78.34, $80.72, $84.56. Support below: $74.51, $71.11.

Watch $78.34 as the first upside level to clear, and $74.51 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.

Signal breakdown

• Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+1.9% over the period).
• Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($81.62).
• RSI (14) Bullish RSI 28 — oversold, bounce setup.
• MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.991) — fast line below signal.
• Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.25).
• Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.69) — distribution.
• A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
• AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($80.51).

Generated from 124 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:43.344498018Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.