CVS (CVS) — Downtrend in force
CVS (CVS) is trading at $96.99, +1.28 (+1.34%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +24.0% move. Price is -12.3% from its 6-month high and +38.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~29%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 5 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CVS (CVS) is trading at $96.99. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +24.0% move.
Price is -12.3% from the 6-month high and +38.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~29%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($100.58, -3.6%) and below the 50-day SMA ($102.28).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $96.99, upper $113.83, middle $102.48, lower $91.13. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 22.1% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 30.9. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.32, signal $-1.19, histogram -1.133.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.12) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($96.99) is +8.0% above the anchored VWAP ($89.80). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $96.99. Resistance above: $104.34, $105.48, $107.55. Support below: $93.01, $91.13.
Watch $104.34 as the first upside level to clear, and $93.01 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$104.34
Resistance
$105.48
Resistance
$107.55
Support
$93.01
Support
$91.13
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+24.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($102.28).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 31 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.133) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.26).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($89.80).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:43.585842884Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.