The Walt Disney Co. (DIS) — Downtrend in force
The Walt Disney Co. (DIS) is trading at $102.19, -3.96 (84.9%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +6.1% move. Price is -8.1% from its 6-month high and +10.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
The Walt Disney Co. (DIS) is trading at $102.19. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +6.1% move.
Price is -8.1% from the 6-month high and +10.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($104.42, -2.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($104.44).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $102.19, upper $108.38, middle $104.82, lower $101.26. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 6.8% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 35.6. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.59, signal $-0.13, histogram -0.469.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.86) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($102.19) is +0.1% above the anchored VWAP ($102.05). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $102.19. Resistance above: $103.68, $104.93, $106.58. Support below: $101.15.
Watch $103.68 as the first upside level to clear, and $101.15 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$103.68
Resistance
$104.93
Resistance
$106.58
Support
$101.15
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+6.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($104.44).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 36 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.469) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.13).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($102.05).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:01:50.524443785Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.