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DLTR (DLTR) — Downtrend in force
DLTR (DLTR) is trading at $112.16, -1.91 (-1.98%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +1.0% move. Price is -18.0% from its 6-month high and +29.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~36%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
DLTR (DLTR) is trading at $112.16. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +1.0% move.
Price is -18.0% from the 6-month high and +29.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~36%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($113.45, -1.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($123.89).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $112.16, upper $121.18, middle $115.01, lower $108.84. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 10.7% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 46.2. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-3.20, signal $-3.37, histogram +0.163.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.83) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($112.16) is -0.3% below the anchored VWAP ($112.53). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $112.16. Resistance above: $114.36, $116.41, $120.36. Support below: $111.23, $108.84.
Watch $114.36 as the first upside level to clear, and $111.23 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$114.36
Resistance
$116.41
Resistance
$120.36
Support
$111.23
Support
$108.84
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+1.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($123.89).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 46 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.163) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.27).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($112.53).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:02:10.126756911Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.