DOW (DOW) — Range-bound
DOW (DOW) is trading at $31.11, +1.77 (+6.03%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a -1.0% move. Price is -25.7% from its 6-month high and +15.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~40%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 1 bearish, 3 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
DOW (DOW) is trading at $31.11. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a -1.0% move.
Price is -25.7% from the 6-month high and +15.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~40%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($30.12, +3.3%) and above the 50-day SMA ($30.48).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $31.11, upper $31.59, middle $30.23, lower $28.88. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 9.0% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 62.6. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.07, signal $-0.11, histogram +0.177.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.88) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($31.11) is -9.9% below the anchored VWAP ($34.53). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $31.11. Resistance above: $31.21, $31.59, $32.73. Support below: $30.81, $30.14, $29.72.
Watch $31.21 as the first upside level to clear, and $30.81 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$31.21
Resistance
$31.59
Resistance
$32.73
Support
$30.81
Support
$30.14
Support
$29.72
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($30.48).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 63 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.177) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.82).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($34.53).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:45.803194329Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.