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ERIE (ERIE) — Downtrend in force
ERIE (ERIE) is trading at $221.09, -1.77 (-45.9%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -13.1% move. Price is -17.7% from its 6-month high and +6.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~28%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 7 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
ERIE (ERIE) is trading at $221.09. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -13.1% move.
Price is -17.7% from the 6-month high and +6.7% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~28%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($229.69, -3.7%) and below the 50-day SMA ($245.38).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $221.09, upper $256.74, middle $233.59, lower $210.44. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 19.8% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Oversold
RSI(14) is 19.5. A bounce is common from these levels but not guaranteed.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-8.00, signal $-6.76, histogram -1.246.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.71). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($221.09) is -7.0% below the anchored VWAP ($237.71). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $221.09. Resistance above: $222.83, $244.37, $254.58. Support below: $216.75, $210.44.
Watch $222.83 as the first upside level to clear, and $216.75 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$222.83
Resistance
$244.37
Resistance
$254.58
Support
$216.75
Support
$210.44
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-13.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($245.38).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 20 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.246) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.23).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.71) — distribution.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($237.71).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:02:14.767134210Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.