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ERIE (ERIE) — Uptrend in force
ERIE (ERIE) is trading at $256.47, +3.89 (+1.54%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a -9.7% move. Price is -9.7% from its 6-month high and +23.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~60%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 7 bullish, 0 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
ERIE (ERIE) is trading at $256.47. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a -9.7% move.
Price is -9.7% from the 6-month high and +23.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~60%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($247.55, +3.6%) and above the 50-day SMA ($236.19).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $256.47, upper $270.56, middle $240.15, lower $209.74. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 25.3% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 68.5. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $6.64, signal $4.90, histogram +1.742.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.95) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($256.47) is +7.3% above the anchored VWAP ($239.09). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $256.47. Resistance above: $258.05, $262.70, $270.56. Support below: $254.31, $250.55, $245.09.
Watch $258.05 as the first upside level to clear, and $254.31 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$258.05
Resistance
$262.70
Resistance
$270.56
Support
$254.31
Support
$250.55
Support
$245.09
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-9.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($236.19).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 68 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.742) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.77).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($239.09).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:48.867587805Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.