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ESS (ESS) — Downtrend in force
ESS (ESS) is trading at $286.76, -1.34 (-0.47%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +13.2% move. Price is -3.9% from its 6-month high and +19.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 5 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
ESS (ESS) is trading at $286.76. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +13.2% move.
Price is -3.9% from the 6-month high and +19.7% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($286.90) and below the 50-day SMA ($288.35).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $286.76, upper $297.94, middle $288.55, lower $279.16. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 6.5% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 47.3. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.31, signal $-0.76, histogram -0.549.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.22) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($286.76) is +6.3% above the anchored VWAP ($269.79). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $286.76. Resistance above: $290.77, $293.86, $297.89. Support below: $285.43, $279.16.
Watch $290.77 as the first upside level to clear, and $285.43 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$290.77
Resistance
$293.86
Resistance
$297.89
Support
$285.43
Support
$279.16
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+13.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($288.35).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 47 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.549) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.40).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($269.79).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:49.159795181Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.