EVRG (EVRG) — Downtrend in force
EVRG (EVRG) is trading at $79.17, +1.13 (+48.2%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -4.2% move. Price is -10.2% from its 6-month high and +1.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~12%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
EVRG (EVRG) is trading at $79.17. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -4.2% move.
Price is -10.2% from the 6-month high and +1.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~12%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($79.07) and below the 50-day SMA ($81.51).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $79.17, upper $82.30, middle $79.67, lower $77.04. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 6.6% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 45.3. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.88, signal $-0.98, histogram +0.106.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.89) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($79.17) is -4.3% below the anchored VWAP ($82.70). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $79.17. Resistance above: $81.21, $82.13, $84.56. Support below: $77.04.
Watch $81.21 as the first upside level to clear, and $77.04 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$81.21
Resistance
$82.13
Resistance
$84.56
Support
$77.04
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-4.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($81.51).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 45 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.106) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.41).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($82.70).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:18.903180716Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.