EXC (EXC) — Downtrend in force
EXC (EXC) is trading at $45.91, +0.3 (+0.66%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -4.4% move. Price is -8.7% from its 6-month high and +5.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 6 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
EXC (EXC) is trading at $45.91. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -4.4% move.
Price is -8.7% from the 6-month high and +5.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($45.81) and below the 50-day SMA ($46.24).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $45.91, upper $47.69, middle $46.03, lower $44.36. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 7.2% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 44.0. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.31, signal $-0.26, histogram -0.048.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.95) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($45.91) is -2.1% below the anchored VWAP ($46.91). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $45.91. Resistance above: $46.03, $46.72, $47.47. Support below: $45.51, $44.89, $44.34.
Watch $46.03 as the first upside level to clear, and $45.51 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$46.03
Resistance
$46.72
Resistance
$47.47
Support
$45.51
Support
$44.89
Support
$44.34
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-4.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($46.24).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 44 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.048) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.47).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($46.91).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:49.893515185Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.