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EXPE (EXPE) — Downtrend in force
EXPE (EXPE) is trading at $265.00, +0.83 (+88.7%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +15.7% move. Price is -21.9% from its 6-month high and +23.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~43%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 7 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
EXPE (EXPE) is trading at $265.00. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +15.7% move.
Price is -21.9% from the 6-month high and +23.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~43%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($271.81, -2.5%) and below the 50-day SMA ($298.12).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $265.00, upper $293.69, middle $273.50, lower $253.30. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 14.8% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 25.3. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-9.88, signal $-9.51, histogram -0.370.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.67). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($265.00) is -0.0% below the anchored VWAP ($265.04). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $265.00. Resistance above: $266.65, $274.37, $293.69. Support below: $261.05, $256.50, $253.30.
Watch $266.65 as the first upside level to clear, and $261.05 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$266.65
Resistance
$274.37
Resistance
$293.69
Support
$261.05
Support
$256.50
Support
$253.30
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+15.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($298.12).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 25 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.370) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.29).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.67) — distribution.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($265.04).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:19.582739753Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.