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FDX (FDX) — Uptrend in force
FDX (FDX) is trading at $334.30, +15.73 (+4.94%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +10.5% move. Price is -1.5% from its 6-month high and +21.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
FDX (FDX) is trading at $334.30. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +10.5% move.
Price is -1.5% from the 6-month high and +21.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($317.58, +5.3%) and above the 50-day SMA ($319.72).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $334.30, upper $334.38, middle $316.83, lower $299.29. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 11.1% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 72.4. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $3.90, signal $0.95, histogram +2.953.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.98) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($334.30) is +8.2% above the anchored VWAP ($308.89). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $334.30. Resistance above: $334.38. Support below: $317.91, $314.31, $311.01.
Watch $334.38 as the first upside level to clear, and $317.91 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$334.38
Support
$317.91
Support
$314.31
Support
$311.01
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+10.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($319.72).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 72 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+2.953) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 1.00).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($308.89).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:51.330451993Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.