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FER (FER) — Uptrend in force
FER (FER) is trading at $64.28, -2.23 (-3.35%) on the session. Over the last 124 sessions the trend is up with a -11.6% move. Price is -13.6% from its 6-month high and +4.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 4 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
FER (FER) is trading at $64.28. Over the last 124 sessions the trend is **up** with a -11.6% move.
Price is -13.6% from the 6-month high and +4.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($64.79) and below the 50-day SMA ($66.01).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $64.28, upper $67.30, middle $64.49, lower $61.69. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 8.7% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 50.9. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.10, signal $-0.23, histogram +0.131.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Accumulation — buyers in control
Over the recent 19 sessions, average up-day volume is 1.51× down-day volume. Price rises on heavier volume than it falls on — a sign buyers are more committed than sellers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($64.28) is -4.4% below the anchored VWAP ($67.23). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $64.28. Resistance above: $64.30, $64.95, $66.35. Support below: $63.88, $63.09, $61.15.
Watch $64.30 as the first upside level to clear, and $63.88 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$64.30
Resistance
$64.95
Resistance
$66.35
Support
$63.88
Support
$63.09
Support
$61.15
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-11.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($66.01).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 51 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.131) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.46).
- Volume profile Bullish Up-day volume 1.51× down-day volume — accumulation.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($67.23).
Generated from 124 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:32.224361674Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.