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FICO (FICO) — Downtrend in force
FICO (FICO) is trading at $1,095.08, +53.68 (+5.15%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -19.0% move. Price is -25.8% from its 6-month high and +18.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~73%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 7 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
FICO (FICO) is trading at $1,095.08. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -19.0% move.
Price is -25.8% from the 6-month high and +18.7% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~73%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($1,123.18, -2.5%) and below the 50-day SMA ($1,179.98).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $1,095.08, upper $1,362.87, middle $1,150.19, lower $937.51. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 37.0% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 38.4. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-41.51, signal $-35.53, histogram -5.984.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.63). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($1,095.08) is -4.4% below the anchored VWAP ($1,145.35). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $1,095.08. Resistance above: $1,230.02, $1,256.50, $1,269.58. Support below: $1,051.00, $1,029.35, $1,015.00.
Watch $1,230.02 as the first upside level to clear, and $1,051.00 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$1,230.02
Resistance
$1,256.50
Resistance
$1,269.58
Support
$1,051.00
Support
$1,029.35
Support
$1,015.00
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-19.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($1,179.98).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 38 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-5.984) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.37).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.63) — distribution.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($1,145.35).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:51.838072216Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.