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HAL (HAL) — Downtrend in force
HAL (HAL) is trading at $31.85, -0.91 (-9.4%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -15.8% move. Price is -25.9% from its 6-month high and +2.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
HAL (HAL) is trading at $31.85. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -15.8% move.
Price is -25.9% from the 6-month high and +2.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($32.93, -3.3%) and below the 50-day SMA ($33.95).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $31.85, upper $37.23, middle $33.74, lower $30.25. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 20.7% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Oversold
RSI(14) is 12.5. A bounce is common from these levels but not guaranteed.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.90, signal $-0.66, histogram -0.234.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.97) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($31.85) is -12.5% below the anchored VWAP ($36.41). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $31.85. Resistance above: $31.99, $33.25, $34.46. Support below: $31.26, $30.25.
Watch $31.99 as the first upside level to clear, and $31.26 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$31.99
Resistance
$33.25
Resistance
$34.46
Support
$31.26
Support
$30.25
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-15.8% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($33.95).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 12 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.234) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.23).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($36.41).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:24.999068397Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.