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HCA (HCA) — Uptrend in force
HCA (HCA) is trading at $405.93, -7.43 (-1.8%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a -24.1% move. Price is -25.5% from its 6-month high and +12.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~43%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
HCA (HCA) is trading at $405.93. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a -24.1% move.
Price is -25.5% from the 6-month high and +12.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~43%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($407.42) and above the 50-day SMA ($392.35).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $405.93, upper $430.53, middle $399.27, lower $368.01. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 15.7% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 55.7. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $5.47, signal $4.60, histogram +0.878.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.26) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($405.93) is -5.2% below the anchored VWAP ($428.19). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $405.93. Resistance above: $415.62, $421.31, $429.54. Support below: $405.76, $399.27, $389.57.
Watch $415.62 as the first upside level to clear, and $405.76 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$415.62
Resistance
$421.31
Resistance
$429.54
Support
$405.76
Support
$399.27
Support
$389.57
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-24.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($392.35).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 56 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.878) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.61).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($428.19).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:56.077233979Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.