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HCA (HCA) — Range-bound
HCA (HCA) is trading at $426.69, -8.92 (77.9%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is flat with a -11.8% move. Price is -15.9% from its 6-month high and +18.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 3 bullish, 3 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
HCA (HCA) is trading at $426.69. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **flat** with a -11.8% move.
Price is -15.9% from the 6-month high and +18.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($429.23) and above the 50-day SMA ($417.44).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $426.69, upper $441.49, middle $426.79, lower $412.10. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 6.9% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 50.3. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $3.48, signal $4.62, histogram -1.139.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.77) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($426.69) is +4.1% above the anchored VWAP ($409.72). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $426.69. Resistance above: $433.13, $441.49, $446.36. Support below: $426.52, $420.00, $409.74.
Watch $433.13 as the first upside level to clear, and $426.52 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$433.13
Resistance
$441.49
Resistance
$446.36
Support
$426.52
Support
$420.00
Support
$409.74
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($417.44).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 50 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.139) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.50).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($409.72).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:25.408036721Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.