HII (HII) — Downtrend in force
HII (HII) is trading at $268.54, +4.52 (+-2.11%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -34.1% move. Price is -34.7% from its 6-month high and +4.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
HII (HII) is trading at $268.54. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -34.1% move.
Price is -34.7% from the 6-month high and +4.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($269.97) and below the 50-day SMA ($293.93).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $268.54, upper $288.43, middle $272.97, lower $257.52. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 11.3% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 42.6. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-7.11, signal $-7.93, histogram +0.819.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.84) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($268.54) is -13.1% below the anchored VWAP ($308.96). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $268.54. Resistance above: $275.98, $278.78, $283.25. Support below: $256.79.
Watch $275.98 as the first upside level to clear, and $256.79 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$275.98
Resistance
$278.78
Resistance
$283.25
Support
$256.79
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-34.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($293.93).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 43 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.819) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.36).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($308.96).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:02:25.649451333Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.