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HPQ (HPQ) — Downtrend in force
HPQ (HPQ) is trading at $32.12, +0.82 (+-9.3%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +69.6% move. Price is -9.5% from its 6-month high and +75.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~50%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend, stabilising
HPQ (HPQ) is trading at $32.12. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +69.6% move.
The 6-month trend is down, but the last ~20 sessions are up 3.0% — early stabilisation. Price is -9.5% from the high and +75.9% from the low.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($32.33) and above the 50-day SMA ($30.71).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $32.12, upper $35.11, middle $32.53, lower $29.95. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 15.9% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 42.7. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.28, signal $0.51, histogram -0.239.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.99) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($32.12) is +24.4% above the anchored VWAP ($25.81). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $32.12. Resistance above: $32.19, $34.06, $35.11. Support below: $31.63, $30.60, $29.85.
Watch $32.19 as the first upside level to clear, and $31.63 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$32.19
Resistance
$34.06
Resistance
$35.11
Support
$31.63
Support
$30.60
Support
$29.85
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+69.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($30.71).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 43 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.239) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.42).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($25.81).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:02:26.114068248Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.