HRL (HRL) — Downtrend in force
HRL (HRL) is trading at $20.25, +0.54 (+1.45%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -7.4% move. Price is -23.6% from its 6-month high and +2.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 6 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
HRL (HRL) is trading at $20.25. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -7.4% move.
Price is -23.6% from the 6-month high and +2.7% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($20.24) and below the 50-day SMA ($22.57).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $20.25, upper $21.31, middle $20.41, lower $19.50. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 8.9% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 41.8. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.68, signal $-0.81, histogram +0.124.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Accumulation — buyers in control
Over the recent 18 sessions, average up-day volume is 1.55× down-day volume. Price rises on heavier volume than it falls on — a sign buyers are more committed than sellers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($20.25) is -10.3% below the anchored VWAP ($22.57). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $20.25. Resistance above: $20.93, $21.31, $21.58. Support below: $19.42.
Watch $20.93 as the first upside level to clear, and $19.42 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$20.93
Resistance
$21.31
Resistance
$21.58
Support
$19.42
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-7.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($22.57).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 42 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.124) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.41).
- Volume profile Bullish Up-day volume 1.55× down-day volume — accumulation.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($22.57).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:26.309704130Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.