HSY (HSY) — Downtrend in force
HSY (HSY) is trading at $160.19, -6.18 (55.9%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -23.0% move. Price is -24.0% from its 6-month high and +1.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~16%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 6 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
HSY (HSY) is trading at $160.19. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -23.0% move.
Price is -24.0% from the 6-month high and +1.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~16%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($165.37, -3.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($175.94).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $160.19, upper $177.58, middle $167.37, lower $157.15. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 12.2% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 25.2. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.72, signal $-4.08, histogram -0.631.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Accumulation — buyers in control
Over the recent 19 sessions, average up-day volume is 1.50× down-day volume. Price rises on heavier volume than it falls on — a sign buyers are more committed than sellers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($160.19) is -11.8% below the anchored VWAP ($181.69). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $160.19. Resistance above: $160.20, $169.57, $173.30. Support below: $156.16.
Watch $160.20 as the first upside level to clear, and $156.16 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$160.20
Resistance
$169.57
Resistance
$173.30
Support
$156.16
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-23.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($175.94).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 25 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.631) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.15).
- Volume profile Bullish Up-day volume 1.50× down-day volume — accumulation.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($181.69).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:26.744841441Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.