HSY (HSY) — Uptrend in force
HSY (HSY) is trading at $184.33, +1.98 (+1.09%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a -16.0% move. Price is -22.0% from its 6-month high and +8.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~24%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
HSY (HSY) is trading at $184.33. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a -16.0% move.
Price is -22.0% from the 6-month high and +8.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~24%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($181.39, +1.6%) and above the 50-day SMA ($177.90).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $184.33, upper $188.68, middle $179.10, lower $169.51. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 10.7% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 58.6. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $1.95, signal $1.10, histogram +0.851.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.88) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($184.33) is -4.4% below the anchored VWAP ($192.81). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $184.33. Resistance above: $188.37. Support below: $181.50, $178.82, $173.59.
Watch $188.37 as the first upside level to clear, and $181.50 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$188.37
Support
$181.50
Support
$178.82
Support
$173.59
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-16.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($177.90).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 59 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.851) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.77).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($192.81).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:57.378743254Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.