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HWM (HWM) — Range-bound
HWM (HWM) is trading at $287.96, +6.08 (+2.16%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a +14.0% move. Price is -1.2% from its 6-month high and +29.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 1 bearish, 3 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
HWM (HWM) is trading at $287.96. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +14.0% move.
Price is -1.2% from the 6-month high and +29.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($284.09, +1.4%) and above the 50-day SMA ($275.02).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $287.96, upper $293.96, middle $283.47, lower $272.97. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 7.4% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 52.6. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $2.83, signal $3.34, histogram -0.517.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.88) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($287.96) is +10.6% above the anchored VWAP ($260.46). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $287.96. Resistance above: $293.96, $310.00. Support below: $286.46, $283.47, $272.89.
Watch $293.96 as the first upside level to clear, and $286.46 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$293.96
Resistance
$310.00
Support
$286.46
Support
$283.47
Support
$272.89
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($275.02).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 53 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.517) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.71).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($260.46).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:57.879102695Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.