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International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) — Uptrend in force
International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) is trading at $235.14, -2.14 (-0.9%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a -9.0% move. Price is -28.6% from its 6-month high and +14.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~92%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 2 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) is trading at $235.14. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a -9.0% move.
Price is -28.6% from the 6-month high and +14.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~92%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($231.12, +1.7%) and below the 50-day SMA ($252.36).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $235.14, upper $247.68, middle $225.84, lower $204.00. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 19.3% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 67.7. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-3.02, signal $-5.89, histogram +2.874.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.99) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($235.14) is -5.1% below the anchored VWAP ($247.85). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $235.14. Resistance above: $237.46, $241.80, $247.68. Support below: $231.68, $223.95, $216.59.
Watch $237.46 as the first upside level to clear, and $231.68 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$237.46
Resistance
$241.80
Resistance
$247.68
Support
$231.68
Support
$223.95
Support
$216.59
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-9.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($252.36).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 68 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+2.874) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.71).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($247.85).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:25.666714954Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.