INCY (INCY) — Downtrend in force
INCY (INCY) is trading at $115.30, -8.59 (-1.57%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +21.6% move. Price is -11.3% from its 6-month high and +25.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
INCY (INCY) is trading at $115.30. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +21.6% move.
Price is -11.3% from the 6-month high and +25.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($122.74, -6.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($123.58).
Bollinger Bands Breakdown pressure — closing below the lower band
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $115.30, upper $129.67, middle $122.92, lower $116.17. Price is breakdown pressure — closing below the lower band.
Bandwidth is 11.0% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 30.7. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.61, signal $-0.38, histogram -1.230.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.81) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($115.30) is +3.5% above the anchored VWAP ($111.43). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 0 support levels
Current price $115.30. Resistance above: $120.44, $122.19, $124.00. Support below: none nearby.
Resistance
$120.44
Resistance
$122.19
Resistance
$124.00
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+21.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($123.58).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 31 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.230) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B -0.06).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($111.43).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:27.946230616Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.