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ITW (ITW) — Uptrend in force
ITW (ITW) is trading at $290.47, -6.19 (-2.09%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a -2.3% move. Price is -2.3% from its 6-month high and +18.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 1 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
ITW (ITW) is trading at $290.47. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a -2.3% move.
Price is -2.3% from the 6-month high and +18.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($291.80) and above the 50-day SMA ($274.23).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $290.47, upper $304.02, middle $287.72, lower $271.42. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 11.3% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 53.4. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $5.61, signal $6.38, histogram -0.772.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.95) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($290.47) is +7.9% above the anchored VWAP ($269.15). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $290.47. Resistance above: $297.76, $301.92. Support below: $287.72, $281.87, $275.32.
Watch $297.76 as the first upside level to clear, and $287.72 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$297.76
Resistance
$301.92
Support
$287.72
Support
$281.87
Support
$275.32
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-2.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($274.23).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 53 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.772) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.58).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($269.15).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:59.884865385Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.