JCI (JCI) — Uptrend in force
JCI (JCI) is trading at $156.24, +6.04 (+2.95%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is up with a +16.8% move. Price is +0.0% from its 6-month high and +17.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~29%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
JCI (JCI) is trading at $156.24. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **up** with a +16.8% move.
Price is 0.0% from the 6-month high and +17.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~29%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($147.16, +6.2%) and above the 50-day SMA ($146.25).
Bollinger Bands Momentum extension — closing above the upper band
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $156.24, upper $156.15, middle $146.26, lower $136.38. Price is momentum extension — closing above the upper band.
Bandwidth is 13.5% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Extreme overbought
RSI(14) is 86.8. Mean-reversion risk is elevated; momentum often stalls here.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $2.57, signal $1.20, histogram +1.368.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.00) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($156.24) is +8.9% above the anchored VWAP ($143.47). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $156.24. Resistance above: $156.84. Support below: $152.65, $148.75, $144.83.
Watch $156.84 as the first upside level to clear, and $152.65 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$156.84
Support
$152.65
Support
$148.75
Support
$144.83
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+16.8% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($146.25).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 87 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.368) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 1.00).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($143.47).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:29.994990565Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.