JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) — Downtrend in force
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) is trading at $332.38, -10.68 (-24.0%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +12.5% move. Price is -9.0% from its 6-month high and +12.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~17%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 3 bullish, 4 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) is trading at $332.38. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +12.5% move.
Price is -9.0% from the 6-month high and +12.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~17%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($340.79, -2.5%) and below the 50-day SMA ($351.82).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $332.38, upper $361.27, middle $344.00, lower $326.74. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 10.0% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 26.8. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-5.71, signal $-4.31, histogram -1.399.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.27) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($332.38) is +1.0% above the anchored VWAP ($329.23). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $332.38. Resistance above: $333.58, $339.37, $343.31. Support below: $325.87.
Watch $333.58 as the first upside level to clear, and $325.87 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$333.58
Resistance
$339.37
Resistance
$343.31
Support
$325.87
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+12.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($351.82).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 27 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.399) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.16).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($329.23).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:01:51.456205816Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.