Eli Lilly and Co. (LLY) — Uptrend in force
Eli Lilly and Co. (LLY) is trading at $1,142.85, -40.61 (-60.9%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is up with a +23.3% move. Price is -10.7% from its 6-month high and +34.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 4 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
Eli Lilly and Co. (LLY) is trading at $1,142.85. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **up** with a +23.3% move.
Price is -10.7% from the 6-month high and +34.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($1,159.51, -1.4%) and below the 50-day SMA ($1,175.73).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $1,142.85, upper $1,193.45, middle $1,150.89, lower $1,108.34. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 7.4% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 47.0. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.22, signal $-3.84, histogram -0.385.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.15) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($1,142.85) is +4.0% above the anchored VWAP ($1,099.23). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $1,142.85. Resistance above: $1,151.23, $1,171.45, $1,188.33. Support below: $1,134.41, $1,108.34.
Watch $1,151.23 as the first upside level to clear, and $1,134.41 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$1,151.23
Resistance
$1,171.45
Resistance
$1,188.33
Support
$1,134.41
Support
$1,108.34
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+23.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($1,175.73).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 47 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.385) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.41).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($1,099.23).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:33.084245339Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.